Political and Civilizational Analysis of Northern Ethiopia Conflict and the Agaezi (Geez) People

Political and Civilizational Analysis of Northern Ethiopia Conflict and the Agaezi (Geez) People

Prepared by: Agaezi National Union (ANU)
Date: 26 November 2025

1. Overview

• Northern Ethiopia (Tigray & Amhara) has been the epicenter of a triangular dirty political war involving Mekelle, Asmera, and Addis Ababa.
• The conflict has caused:
  • Mass displacement
  • Genocide and systematic oppression
  • Destruction of infrastructure and cultural heritage
• ANU frames the conflict as civilizational rather than merely ethnic or regional, targeting the survival of the Geez (Agaezi) identity.
• Anti-Meles Zenawi factions currently dominate key regions, while former pro-Meles Zenawi factions retain influence in diaspora and historical networks.

2. Key Actors

3. Strategic Analysis

• Triangular War Dynamics: Mekelle, Asmera, Addis Ababa form a strategic triad controlling northern Ethiopia, facilitating coordinated military, political, and economic dominance.
• Military Governance: Key commanders, historically anti-Meles, now consolidate power, controlling narratives and avoiding accountability.
• Civilizational Threats: Cultural, religious, and historical sites targeted. ANU positions itself as defender of Geez civilization.

4. Humanitarian & Legal Violations

• Mass starvation, sexual violence, human trafficking, and siege tactics.
• Destruction of healthcare, education, and public infrastructure.
• Violations of:
  • Geneva Conventions (Articles 54 & 55)
  • UN protocols on human trafficking
  • ICESCR Article 11 (right to food)

5. Regional & Geopolitical Context

• Red Sea regions are strategically and economically vital, attracting international interest from the U.S., China, Iran.
• ANU emphasizes international collaboration to restore stability, protect civilization, and combat trafficking.

6. ANU Strategic Objectives

1. Expose coordinated actions of TPLF, PP, EPLF.
2. Safeguard Geez civilization, heritage, and historical sites.
3. Reclaim statehood, sovereignty, and Red Sea territories.
4. Demand international justice and accountability for war crimes.
5. Combat human trafficking affecting Geez populations.

7. Restoring the Red Sea

• The Geez people have been excluded from their Red Sea territories for decades.
• Djibouti has profited from ports including the Doraleh Multi-Purpose Port, adjacent to a Chinese naval base.
• ANU’s vision includes:
  • Reclaiming maritime sovereignty
  • Securing economic and strategic interests
  • Restoring Aksumite legacy of commerce and influence

8. The Global Agaezi-an Project (GAP)

• Goal: Protect Geez-Abyssinians from genocide and restore sovereignty.
• Population: ~90 million in Ethiopia and Eritrea.
• Historical Significance:
  • Axumite Empire, control over Red Sea trade routes
  • Pioneers in science, medicine, theology, military strategy, art, and literature
• Historical Threats: Arab and European invasions, colonial partitions (Italy & Britain), and modern political marginalization.
• Current Threats:
  • TPLF/OLF oppression, cultural erasure, exclusion from Red Sea, genocidal campaigns
• Strategic Solutions:

• 1. Global mobilization and awareness
  2. Empower ANU politically, socially, militarily
  3. Remove foreign-installed leadership
  4. Constitutional reform and inclusive governance
  5. Territorial restoration including Red Sea access
  6. National defense and empowerment of Agaezi civilization

9. Vision

• A united Agaezi people with restored sovereignty over historical lands and the Red Sea.
• Preservation and thriving of Geez civilization, culture, and political autonomy.
• Motto: “Long Live United Agaezi-ans with Their Red Sea – The Holy Land of the Geez People!”

Summary: The document frames the northern Ethiopia conflict as a civilizational struggle, not just ethnic or regional warfare. The ANU positions itself as the defender of the Geez civilization, calling for territorial restoration, protection of cultural heritage, Red Sea sovereignty, and international intervention against systemic oppression and genocide.

References

• Asafa Jalata, The Concept of Oromummaa and Identity Formation in Contemporary Oromo Society, 2007 & n.d.
• Advocacy4Oromia.org